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ASU anthropologist Shrestha on team analyzing the risk of glacial lake bursting.
It's not about solving a problem but about understanding why people live there.
3-year study funded by an NSF grant uses a cross-disciplinary approach.
September 1, 2015

A story of geology, danger and why people live with it

Editor's note: This story is being highlighted in ASU Now's year in review. To read more top stories from 2015, click here.

At the head of a river valley in the high Himalaya lurks a liquid demon.

A melting glacier has engorged a lake at its foot to the point where the waters are barely contained by a loose natural dam of rock and earth.

Five villages lie immediately below the lake. The villages are about 300 years old, nestled alongside the Dudh Khosi riverbed, where there's prime agricultural land for growing potatoes and barley as well as herding goats and yaks.

Proximity to Everest and other prized climbing peaks means Sherpa are close to where they work as guides and porters. There’s more to their ties to the land than that, though. They identify themselves as climbers, as mountain people. There’s no more likelihood of them leaving the high mountain valleys than surfers leaving Southern California.

“They will not move,” said Milan Shrestha.

Shrestha is an Arizona State University anthropologist joining a team of scientists who will analyze the risk of the glacial lake bursting during a study funded by a recent $1.4 million grant from the National Science Foundation.

“Our job is to study what (the Sherpa) want,” he said. “That’s why they asked an anthropologist to be a part of this.”

During the study Shrestha will act as a liaison between the earth scientists and the Sherpa. It is a three-year study and has an interdisciplinary team of water-resource engineers, a glaciologist, an anthropologist and a mountain geographer.

Similar hazards occur around the world. In many places the danger is removed by draining or damming the lakes. That’s not possible in the Khumbu region. It’s too remote to haul in heavy equipment and material. And it's too early to know how the Sherpa feel about draining the lake. It is part of their landscape and has tourism ramifications, but residents are also concerned about risk. 

This isn't a story about solving a problem, it's about understanding why people live in dangerous places.

The lake

Sometimes called the “third pole,” the Himalaya mountains hold the most frozen water outside the polar regions. Warming trends for the Himalaya range are higher than the global average, leading to serious danger downstream. 

Of 9,000 lakes in the Hindu Kush Himalaya, about 200 have the potential to burst, according to the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), a regional intergovernmental organization.

Imja Lake, the focus of Shrestha and the team’s research, hangs above a valley of villages and cities like the sword of Damocles. Imja Glacier is retreating at a rate of about 70 yards per year.

The lake began to form in the 1960s. “This is one of the very few lakes expanding rapidly,” Shrestha said.

The Sherpa

There are more than 20 settlements downstream from Imja Lake. It is estimated that the number of people likely to be directly affected by a potential flood ranges from about 5,000 to 7,000. More than 96,000 people will be affected indirectly, according to regional group ICIMOD.

Other local climate-change threats are landslides.

“The lake is a reminder (climate change) is happening, and that there is risk,” said Shrestha, a lecturer in the Julie Ann Wrigley Global Institute of Sustainability at ASU. “The (Sherpa) don’t want to see the lake completely go away. They want to manage it in such a way risk is mitigated.”

In 1985, a big flood hit the same area. “People still have the memory of that,” he said.

“Our job is to study what (the Sherpa) want. That’s why they asked an anthropologist to be a part of this.”
— Milan Shrestha, ASU anthropologist

The local Sherpa aren’t aware of climate change in the same sense that Westerners are, Shrestha said. Nor do they have an ingrained cultural fear of flooding. However, they believe gods inhabit every mountain.

“We do not have a good idea of how the Sherpa perceive these lakes in their cultural memories,” Shrestha said. But, “When they see glaciers melting, it’s a sign.”

Other threats they’re facing are declining tourism, landslides and young people leaving to go to the big cities.

“The lake is only one threat they’re facing, but the lake embodies the threat they’re seeing,” Shrestha said.

The danger

Glacial-lake outburst floods are fairly rare, said Kelin Whipple, a geologist in the School of Earth and Space Exploration at ASU who studies how the Earth’s surface is sculpted.

However, “they’re not new,” Whipple said. “Ever since we’ve had glaciation, we’ve had glacial lakes.”

An avalanche, an earthquake, more snowmelt, “anything could destabilize this lake and burst it,” he said. “It’s a dramatic hazard. Everything downstream from there, you’d see flood lines of debris high on the walls.”

Whipple described the sound of the burst: There would be a loud roar from waves and turbulence, with the muffled tocks and clacks of boulders banging against each other on the riverbed.

Glacial-lake outburst floods have been a fact of life in Peru since the 1930s, where the number of lakes has dramatically increased. There were 13 major floods in the 20th century.

Lake Palcacocha in the Peruvian Andes burst in 1941, killing 5,000 people. Last year it was declared to be in a state of emergency. It’s full again. If it bursts, it is estimated the 120,000 people in the town of Huaraz would have a little more than an hour to flee.

After a power plant was destroyed in the 1950s, the Peruvians created a government agency to deal with glacial lakes. The agency created a systematic glacial-lake classification index to identify and rank hazards. After they inventoried hundreds of lakes, they drained and dammed 19 of them.

They also designated hazard zones and told people they’d have to move.

In one area where almost 15,000 died after a glacial avalanche, declaring hazard zones was a disaster in itself. No one left. Some wanted to be near where family members had died. “We want to die here, where we were born,” one said.

Leaders feared moving the town would cripple its economy. Tourism was an issue because the proposed new town wasn’t located near the mountains. There were social and political issues as well, but what finally killed the move was how the government handled the whole issue, according to a 2008 paper. Officials never discussed relocation plans with local people.

Why people live with danger

Shauna BurnSilver is an environmental anthropologist who studies how climate change affects native peoples who have depended on the environment for centuries. She has studied the Iñupiaq on the north coast of Alaska and the Maasai and Tuareg herdsmen in Africa. She is an assistant professor in the School of Human Evolution and Social Change at ASU.

“Perception of risk is not just perceived risk,” BurnSilver said. To engineers and scientists, the solution is clear: Fix it or move.

“To (specialists) the risk was very clear,” she said. “What needed to happen was zoning of hazards. … The problem was people wanted to be there.”

“Sense of place has to do with being a people from that place. If you moved them from that place, they wouldn’t be able to say, ‘I am Sherpa.’ ”
— Shauna BurnSilver, ASU environmental anthropologist

Sense of place is a powerful human emotion. After Superstorm Sandy drowned, burned and flattened the Rockaways in Queens, New York, in 2012, a retired fire chief was quoted as saying, “This is a Rockaway story. Now we’re really never going to leave.”

The Rockaways are still being rebuilt. If Southern California were somehow devastated, surfers would probably move to other beaches somewhere. They would still be surfers; they just wouldn’t be Californians. For the Sherpa and the Iñupiaq, leaving just isn’t an option. It’s not an economic calculation.

“Sense of place has to do with being a people from that place,” BurnSilver said. “If you moved them from that place, they wouldn’t be able to say, ‘I am Sherpa.’”

Some Iñupiaq in the Alaskan Arctic identify themselves as “People of the River.” Even if one of them has a job in town driving a grader and only fishes on weekends, he is still a River Person in his mind.  His sense of place will never change. He will always be one of the “People of the River.”

For someone with that sense of place, leaving “is a narrative of loss,” BurnSilver said.

To Athapaskans, native peoples of Alaska of which the Iñupiaq are part, glaciers are sentient. They are also unpredictable. The fact that glaciers occasionally kill people is something they live with. Because they have lived with risk so long and accept it as part of living where they do, they stay where they are, just like the Sherpa.

“It’s a question of different world views,” BurnSilver said. “The Iñupiaq are not going to leave the northern coast of Alaska. … The Sherpa might decide to stay with what we perceive as an unacceptable level of risk.”

What anthropologists do is bring in those non-risk, non-structural factors, BurnSilver said. They are trained to take in other perspectives. Oftentimes it’s a series of trade-offs.

“Solving this is not about solutions, but a process,” she said, “beginning to understand what is an acceptable level of risk.”

Shrestha will visit Nepal in December to meet with local contacts, then return in May to begin work. Assisted by a graduate student, he will do 350 household surveys during the summer.

“[The study] is going to have an immediate effect,” he said. “We have done a remarkable job identifying these lakes. What we have not done is assess the local people’s needs. … If it poses an immediate danger, what can we do? What are the things they can do? What are the things they can put off?”

An early warning system, like a flood gauge coupled with a broadcast or telecommunication system, is one possibility.

Work on the study began in August and will continue until July 2018.

 
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ASU performance showcases human side of ‘big data’

ASU faculty members visualize bigdata through theater.
September 30, 2015

Editor's note: This story is being highlighted in ASU Now's year in review. To read more top stories from 2015, click here.

Ask people to picture what data looks like and they might envision something like the opening title sequence of “The Matrix,” where boxy green code rains down a static black background. Ask them to imagine what it sounds like and they might recall the scene in the movie where Neo is traced and his scream devolves into a chaotic jumble of metallic sounds.

Thankfully, a few Arizona State University faculty have come up with a decidedly less terrifying way to experience data somatically.

This Friday, Jacqueline Wernimont, Jessica Rajko and Eileen Standley will present “Vibrant Lives and Data Archives,” an atypical performance installation that aims to inform people about the concept of personal “data shed” by providing an experience in which their data can be seen, felt and heard.

Data shed refers to the nearly 3.5 million bytes of data produced per person, per day. That data is unique to each person because it comes from things like smartphone apps or wearable fitness devices that record a person’s behavior and actions.

But it doesn’t stop at "Bejeweled Blitz" and Fitbits. Everything from the Facebook ads you click on to pacifiers that tell a baby’s temperature produce data.

“There’s all this data that’s flying off of us all the time, but you can’t see it,” said Wernimont, assistant professor in the Department of English whose research focuses on alternative ways of understanding data.

And all of that data, that personal information, is being captured.

Captured by whom and for what purpose, you might ask?

Mostly by mobile-app developers, who often sell it to third-party users, who in turn use the data to develop a profile of an individual in order to create customized consumer experiences.

Wernimont calls them “the guys in the closet.”

“[They] are watching everything that you’re doing and gathering data about that,” she said.

Though that might sound creepy, don’t break out the torches and pitchforks just yet.

Even though there are instances like the one where a father whose daughter had been killed in an auto accident received junk mail from a company that forgot to delete the data they had used to target him — resulting in the phrase “daughter killed in car crash” printed below his address — there are also ways that sharing personal information can benefit us.

“There are lots of instances where (sharing information is) useful. Devices like Fitbits. Those kinds of things are advertised as self-empowering technologies, and for lots and lots of people they really are,” Wernimont said. “So it’s not that they’re good or bad. It’s that they are. And understanding how they work allows us to understand how they shape the world that we see.”

Translating data
 

One of the things Wernimont, Rajko and Standley hope to accomplish with “Vibrant Lives” is to give people a sense of the sheer amount of personal data they shed every day in a way that more effectively resonates with them.

“A lot of times data is represented in static form through visual presentations of graphs or charts, which is interesting, but doesn’t necessarily give an embodied experience of what that really means,” said Rajko, assistant professor in the School of Film, Dance and Theatre, part of the Herberger Institute for Design and the Arts.

Watch a video below of the performance in action Friday night.

 

Rajko met Wernimont after the latter had given a Nexus Lab presentation on her research. Intrigued, Rajko approached Wernimont and they got to talking. Later on, Standley — a clinical professor in the School of Film, Dance and Theatre — joined the mix.

The trio applied for and were awarded funding from a Herberger Institute seed grant as well as an Institute for Humanities Research seed grant to pursue the project that eventually became “Vibrant Lives,” and immediately got to work brainstorming how to illustrate their ideas.

With input from Jamie Winterton, director of strategy with ASU’s Global Security Initiative, they developed a mobile phone application to be used in conjunction with the performance installation.

Upon entering the performance space, attendees can download the app and, as they move through the space, their phones will vibrate or make sounds in direct relation to the amount of data they are producing, or “shedding.”

“How that works is we’re setting up an external server, or an external device, that’s basically capturing all the data in the space. It can identify whose data is being captured and then send that data amount back to the phone.

“So it’s almost sort of like this third-party system, which is sort of a redundant metaphor, I think, for some of the things we’ve been talking about,” Rajko said with a laugh.

Attendees will also have the opportunity to hook their phone up to a device called a woojer, which translates data into vibrations that can be felt.

Humanizing data
 

“Vibrant Lives” will also feature a group of 20-plus performers made up of ASU students and alumni who will, in a sense, be acting out data.

To describe what that might look like, Wernimont references Wendy Chun, a media theorist at Brown University who says that “devices are promiscuous,” because, Wernimont said, “essentially what they’re doing is saying, ‘Hey! Hey! Hey! Hey!’ to the Internet. And the Internet is like, ‘Are you there? Are you there? Are you there? Are you there?’ ”

So attendees can expect a certain amount of interaction with the "Vibrant Lives" performers. They will be clad in costumes coated in colored cornstarch, which will shed particles as they move, reiterating the idea of data shed.

person looking at app on phone

“There’ll be dancers talking to you, or offering you a kinesthetic experience, depending on the level of engagement that the audience wants to (engage in),” Standley said.

She added that “the process becomes a teaching setting in many ways. As well as providing a bridge to the Arizona community and local professional arts setting, students learn from working with us and are also informed in deep ways about the concepts we are researching together.”

The fact that humans play a role in demonstrating what data might look is no accident.

“By having bodies in the room that are interacting with people, we’re making an active argument that this is about people,” Wernimont said. “What you’re feeling vibrate is a person.”

Rajko expounded on that, “Everybody has a body, and human-based data is not possible without humans. So ultimately, if we’re looking at a graph or a chart with data points … that’s not possible without people.

“And so how do we take the distraction of something that separates those two out and bring it back to this?” she asked, reaching out to Wernimont sitting next to her and placing her hands on Wernimont’s arm. “Because ultimately, this is what it’s about.”

Developing 'Data'
 

“Vibrant Lives and Data Archives” will premier at 6 p.m. Friday, Oct. 2, in ASU’s Galvin Playhouse. The installation is a “pre-show” that will begin 30 minutes before each performance of Fall Forward!, the kick-off event of Herberger’s dance season, featuring new works created by ASU faculty and guests.

Though this particular iteration of the performance installation focuses on animating a person’s individual data, plans are in the works for future performances that will look at aggregate data — data taken from a group of people.

“This is like a tiny little segment of the bigger project,” Wernimont said.

“Vibrant Lives” will travel this summer to the Digital Humanities Summer Institute in Victoria, British Columbia, and later will showcase at Spark! Mesa’s Festival of Creativity in March 2016, where it will feature an added sculptural element composed of what are basically giant woojers, called ButtKickers.

Each performance will build on and make changes to the previous one.

“It’s really important that this is a demonstration of the ways in which art performance is research. Creative and performative is the same as research. This is our lab,” said Wernimont.